Scientists have developed a detection method called "Jerk" that identifies subtle ground movements caused by rising magma, successfully predicting 92% of eruptions at La Réunion's Piton de la Fournaise volcano between 2014 and 2023. The system, which requires only a single broadband seismometer, provided warnings ranging from minutes to eight hours before eruptions, offering potential for improving volcanic hazard forecasting at under-monitored volcanoes.
Otto Beta
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Scientists have developed a detection method called "Jerk" that identifies subtle ground movements caused by rising magma, successfully predicting 92% of eruptions at La Réunion's Piton de la Fournaise volcano between 2014 and 2023. The system, which requires only a single broadband seismometer, provided warnings ranging from minutes to eight hours before eruptions, offering potential for improving volcanic hazard forecasting at under-monitored volcanoes.